Tuesday, 25 September 2012

AUD-USD prediction september 26 2012

forex trading outlook today - AUD-USD prediction september 26 2012 : AUD/USD rallied to as high as 1.0460 Tuesday but succumbed to broader U.S. dollar strength on risk aversion when a Federal Reserve official criticized QE3, which turned attention to the limits of the Fed's monetary policy.

The pair has pushed below the 1.0385 support zone to hit a 3-day low of 1.0378 as it closed the North American session down 0.4% on the day at 1.0382. Stops below 1.0365 (Sep 20 low) may get tested soon, with bids likely to be triggered near the 200-day EMA (1.0334). Upside rallies may encounter resistance at 1.0403 (intraday).

A look at the 1H chart shows a slight bearish bias developing indeed this week as price action remained under the 200-hour SMA and the RSI remained under 60 after after kissing 30 on Monday (9/24). The RSI falling back below 40 and tagging 30 would continue to reflect this bearish bias as the market attempts to break lower toward the 1.0320-1.0325 area.

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